The Impact of Israel-Hamas War on The Various Sectors of Indian Stock Market

Authors

  • Priyakrushna Mohanty School of Business and Management, Christ University
  • Anubha Srivastava School of Business and Management, CHRIST (Deemed to be University), Bannerghatta Road Campus, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India - 560029

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12725/ujbm.69.4

Keywords:

Israel-Hamas war, Event Study, Indian stock market, India

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict of October 2023 on the Indian stock indices and sector-based companies with a particular focus on the steel, oil and gas, defence, and pharmaceutical sectors. Employing an event study methodology, the research analyses the effects of the conflict on the respective Nifty indices and individual stocks within these critical sectors. The findings unveil a tapestry of sector-specific impacts, ranging from heightened volatility in the Nifty Oil and Gas Index due to surging crude prices to an uptick in the Nifty Defence Index, reflecting heightened security concerns. Abnormal return analyses capture the undulating market sentiments, while cumulative abnormal returns underscore the differential impact across sectors over time. The study offers invaluable insights for investors, policymakers, and stakeholders, highlighting the imperative for a nuanced, dynamic approach to investment decision-making amidst geopolitical disruptions

References

Aggarwal, R., Inclan, C., & Leal, R. (1999). Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 34(1), 33.

https://doi.org/10.2307/2676245

António Miguel Martins, Álvaro, P., & Cró, S. (2023). Stock market reaction to the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine: an event study for the European tourism and hospitality industry. Journal of Applied Economics, 26(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/15140326.2023.2261756

Ashraf, S., & Baig, M. A. (2019). Is the Indian Stock Market Efficiently Inefficient? An Empirical Investigation. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(7), 7. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i7/145532

Bakry, W., Kavalmthara, P. J., Saverimuttu, V., Liu, Y., & Cyril, S. (2021). Response of stock market volatility to COVID-19 announcements and stringency measures: A comparison of developed and emerging markets. Finance Research Letters, 46, 102350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102350

Boubaker, S., Goodell, J. W., Pandey, D. K., & Kumari, V. (2022). Heterogeneous impacts of wars on global equity markets: Evidence from the invasion of Ukraine. Finance Research Letters, 48(3), 102934. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.102934

Brounen, D., & Derwall, J. (2010). The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on International Stock Markets. European Financial Management, 16(4), 585–598. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-036x.2009.00502.x

Chen, M.-H., Jang, S. (Shawn), & Kim, W. G. (2007). The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: An event-study approach. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 26(1), 200–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2005.11.004

Chowdhury, E. K., Khan, I. I., & Dhar, B. K. (2021). Catastrophic impact of Covid‐19 on the global stock markets and economic activities. Business and Society Review, 127(2). https://doi.org/10.1111/basr.12219

Gu, X., Zhang, W., & Cheng, S. (2021). How do investors in Chinese stock market react to external uncertainty? An event study to the Sino-US disputes. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 68(3), 101614. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101614

Hassan, M. K., Pandey, D. K., Boubaker, S., & Kumari, V. (2022). Indo-China border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach. Finance Research Letters, 4(3), 103277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103277

JOSH, N. A., H. Kent BAKER, & AGGARWAL, A. (2023). The Russia-Ukraine War’s Impact on Stock Markets in Asia-Pacific, the United States, and Europe. Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics, 16(31), 39–53. https://doi.org/10.17015/ejbe.2023.031.03

Kollias, C., Kyrtsou, C., & Papadamou, S. (2013). The effects of terrorism and war on the oil price–stock index relationship. Energy Economics, 40(1), 743–752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.006

Krishnan, D., & Dagar, V. (2022). Exchange Rate and Stock Markets During Trade Conflicts in the USA, China, and India. Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 14(2), 097491012210827. https://doi.org/10.1177/09749101221082724

Muhammad Niaz Khan. (2024). Market volatility and crisis dynamics: a comprehensive analysis of U.S., China, India, and Pakistan stock markets with oil and gold interconnections during COVID-19 and Russia–Ukraine war periods. Future Business Journal, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-024-00314-8

P, G., Kumar K, S., & C. Bhat, D. (2022). IMPACT OF RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR ON INDIAN STOCK MARKET - AN EVENT STUDY WITH REFERENCE TO NIFTY 50. International Journal of Research -GRANTHAALAYAH, 10(4), 161–167. https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v10.i4.2022.4566

Pal, S., & Garg, A. K. (2020). Macroeconomic surprises and stock market responses in view of global linkage – A study of Indian stock market. Cogent Economics & Finance, 8(1), 1839171. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2020.1839171

Papakyriakou, P., Sakkas, A., & Taoushianis, Z. (2019). The impact of terrorist attacks in G7 countries on international stock markets and the role of investor sentiment. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 61(3), 143–160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2019.03.001

Parab, N., Naik, R., & V. Reddy, Y. (2020). The Impact of Economic Events on Stock Market Returns: Evidence from India. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 10(11), 1232–1247. https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.aefr.2020.1011.1232.1247

Safitri, H., & Hariyanto, D. (2023). Capital Market Reaction in Asean Member Countries Against Market Shock: Russia and Ukraine War. Journal of Asian Multicultural Research for Economy and Management Study, 3(4), 30–37. https://doi.org/10.47616/jamrems.v3i4.353

Shapiro, D. M., Switzer, L. N., & Mastroianni, D. P. N. (2011). War And Peace: The Reaction Of Defense Stocks. Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 15(3), 21. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v15i3.5668

Shi, Y., Wang, L., & Ke, J. (2021). Does the US-China trade war affect co-movements between US and Chinese stock markets? Research in International Business and Finance, 58(3), 101477. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101477

Soraya, N. (2023). AN EVENT STUDY: INDONESIAN CAPITAL MARKET REACTION TO THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR ANNOUNCEMENT. JRAK, 15(1), 114–120. https://doi.org/10.23969/jrak.v15i1.6676

Tavor, T. (2011). The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on the Capital Market in the Last Decade. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 2(12). https://doi.org/10.30845/ijbss

Umar, M., Riaz, Y., & Yousaf, I. (2022). Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach. Resources Policy, 79(102966), 102966. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102966

Downloads

Published

2025-01-30

How to Cite

Mohanty, P., & Srivastava, A. (2025). The Impact of Israel-Hamas War on The Various Sectors of Indian Stock Market. Ushus Journal of Business Management, 23(4), 57 - 83. https://doi.org/10.12725/ujbm.69.4

Most read articles by the same author(s)