Modelling for HIV Spread in Homosexual Population
Published 2005-08-22
Keywords
- AIDS,
- Inculbing time,
- HIV Spread,
- Homosexual Population,
- mixing
- modeling,
- spreaders,
- susceptible ...More
Abstract
Statical modeling of HIV infection is useful to understand HIV spread mechanism, for predicting HIV and AIDS counts and for forecasting health care needs. This article:
i. stresses the need for modeling of HIV and AIDS .
ii. discusses the appropriateness of a stochastic mode for HIV transmission and
iii. examines the applicability of diffusion of news and rumors model of Taga & Isli(1959), reported in Bartholomew(1967) and presents the adapted version of this model to suit HIV spread in homosexual populations. Three different cases are considered under this model.