Power of 280: Measuring the Impact of Elon Musk's Tweets on the Stock Market
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12725/ujbm.58.2Keywords:
Twitter, Elon Musk, Sentiment analysis, Cumulative abnormal returns, Event study, Stock market, the stock priceAbstract
This research aims to measure the extent up to which Elon Musk’s Twitter posts may influence stock prices of companies tagged, specifically the essential market metrics such as price, volume, and returns obtained from listed stocks. Intra-day data from well-recognized data providers have been utilized, for a period of 900 minutes, ranging from -600 minutes to +360 minutes, with the 0th minute being the time of his tweet (t=0). The study incorporates an event study and has adopted sentiment analysis and cumulative abnormal returns and found a significant impact of his tweets on five of the eight events.
References
Affuso, E., Lahtinen, K.D. Social media sentiment and market behaviour. Empire Econ 57, 105–127 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1430-y
Ajjoub, C., Walker, T. and Zhao, Y. (2020), Social media posts and stock returns: The Trump factor. International Journal of Managerial Finance. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMF-02-2020-0068
Ante, L., (2021). How Elon Musk's Twitter activity moves cryptocurrency markets. Blockchain Research Lab. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3778844
Armitage, S., (1995). Event study methods and evidence on their performance. Journal of Economic Surveys, 9, 25–52. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.1995.tb00109.x
De R., Pandey N., Pal A. Impact of digital surge during Covid-19 pandemic: A viewpoint on research and practice. International Journal of Information Management. 2020;55:102171. doi: 10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2020.102171
Frydendahl, G., & Stenger, J. S. (2019). President Trump's Tweets and the stock market: A study of how Trump's Tweets affect targeted companies' stock prices. [Graduate Programme Final Thesis, Copenhagen Business School].
Ha V. Dang, Mi Lin. (2016). Herd mentality in the stock market: On the role of idiosyncratic participants with heterogeneous information.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.10.005
James C. Van Horne & George G.C. Parker (1967) The random-walk theory: An empirical test, Financial Analysts Journal, 23:6, 87-92, DOI: 10.2469/faj.v23.n6.87
Musk, E.[@elonmusk]. (2020, May 01). Tesla stock price is too high, imo [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1256239815256797184
Musk, E. [@elonmusk]. (2020, June 04). Time to break up Amazon. Monopolies are wrong! [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1268603809409888256
Musk, E. [@elonmusk]. (2021, February 04). . An email saying you have gold is not the same as having gold. You might as well have crypto. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1363007438455074825
Musk, E., (2021, February 04). Sandstorm is a masterpiece [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1357261308152975361
Musk, E., (2021, January 26). I kinda love Etsy [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1354027651468550144
Musk, E., (2021, January 27). Gamestonk!! [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1354174279894642703
Musk, E., (2021, January 29). In retrospect, it was inevitable [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1355068728128516101
Musk, E., (2021 January 29). Shopify is great too. SpaceX used them. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1354904849234751499
Nofer, M., Hinz, O. Using Twitter to predict the stock market. Business & Information Systems Engineering 57, 229–242 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12599-015-0390-4.
Noveck, B., Button, J., Gambrell, D., Paulson, L., Spada, P., & Subramanian, L. (2021). The power of virtual communities.TheGovLab.
Ranco, G., Aleksovski, D., Caldarelli, G., Grčar, M., Mozetič, I. (2015). The effects of Twitter sentiment on stock price returns. PLoS ONE 10(9): e0138441. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138441
Yang, S., Mo, S. & Liu, A. (2015) Twitter financial community sentiment and its predictive relationship to stock market movement, Quantitative Finance, 15:10, 1637-1656, DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2015.1071078.
Tabari, N., Praneeth, B., Biswas, P., Seyeditabari, A., Hadzikadic, M., and Zadrozny, W. (2018). Causality analysis of Twitter sentiments and stock market returns. http://dx.doi.org/10.18653/v1/W18-3102
Valle-Cruz, D., Fernandez-Cortez, V., López-Chau, A. et al. (2021). Does Twitter affect stock market decisions? Financial sentiment analysis during pandemics: A comparative study of the H1N1 and the COVID-19 periods. CognComput (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-021-09819-8
Vance, A. (2015). Elon Musk: How the billionaire CEO of SpaceX and Tesla is shaping our future. Random House.
Xiaqing Liu, Baiyu Liu & Xiaoning Han (2019). Analysis of herd effect of investor's behavior from the perspective of behavioral finance. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2991/icmete-19.2019.133
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Sanjeev Metta, Nidheesh M, Krishnamoorthy K N
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.